Working papers.

Pavel Kandel "Are there «color revolutions» without color?". Working paper №12, 2016 (№26)

Many people in Russia are inclined to perceive any mass anti-government protests as the next «color revolution». USA and their allies did make a lot to form such a perception of the world. But the wave of mass protests in South-Eastern Europe in 2013-2015 revealed that technologies of «color revolutions» can be used not only by external forces, but also by local opposition for attaining its own goals.

Natalia Govorova "Integrated EU policy for the Arctic". Working paper №11, 2016 (№25).

The European Union, in contrast to Russia, Canada, USA, Norway and Greenland (Danish territory outside the EU) does not have the Arctic Ocean coast line, but is invariably connected to the Arctic geographically, historically and economically, considering itself responsible for the destiny of the region. In recent years the EU policy in the Arctic has been expanding and deepening, and resulted in the Integrated EU policy for the Arctic, presented by the European Commission on April 27, 2016.

Alexey Gromyko "The day that changed Europe". Working paper №10, 2016 (№24)

«Shock and awe» was the name of military invasion of the US and UK to Iraq, that shook the world order to its foundations. The same name British euroskeptics can give to the operation of their country’s exiting the European Union («Brexit» – from English «Britain» and «exit»). London and Brussels are shocked. Brussels is overwhelmed with awe in face of an unprecedented political crisis. Just a while ago the possible exit of Greece from the euro zone, not from the EU, was considered unacceptable and dangerous for all 28 EU states. Now, the second largest economy of the Union, UN Security Council member, nuclear power and the closest ally of US decided to leave the EU.

Olga Potemkina «New partnership» of EU Commission – an «ambitious plan» with unclear prospects. Working paper №9, 2016 (№23)

Presented by EU Commission on June 7, 2016, the initiative of «new partnership» with African states and neighboring countries provoked controversial reaction of European public. The main problem of the «ambitious plan» is its realization. Will Commission succeed in attracting finances of member-states and private investors for achievement of the goals set or will the EU have to cut the development policy budget to stop the migration inflows to Europe?

Elena Ananieva "Britain has no perpetual enemies". Working paper №8, 2016 (№22)

After nearly a decade of the UK's sharp criticism of Russia's policy, there are finally signs that the British government may be willing to engage with Russia once again.

Kirill Gusev "On vulnerability of Russian economy". Working paper №7, 2016 (№21)

Over two years the Russian economy has been living under the Western sanctions, which, along with sharp decline of oil prices, have since then been frequently used as «the official excuse» for devaluation of the Russian ruble. And despite the attempts of the country's financial authorities to «explain» to the citizens that they should now care not about the ruble exchange rate, but about the inflation rate, reflecting the growth of local prices in national currency, most of the Russians still perceive external shocks as the events which lead to new devaluations of the ruble.

Valentin P. Fedorov "Detrimental actions of Angela Merkel". Working paper №6, 2016 (№20)

Reunification of Germany in the ХX century had controversial consequences for Europe. On the one hand, the historical injustice of dividing the country in three parts – FRG, GDR, Western Berlin – was eliminated. On the other hand, the German overweight in Europe increased, with its benefits and drawbacks.

Elena Ananieva "Brexit, Russia and the fate of the British nuclear deterrent". Working Paper №5, 2016 (№19)

Britain’s decision to modernize its nuclear forces is likely to provoke international debate on nuclear non-proliferation and the role of the British nuclear deterrent within NATO.

Elena Ananieva "Russia and the Brexit: be careful of simple solutions to complex problems". Working Paper №4, 2016 (№18)

The Brexit referendum asked the British to give a simple answer to a complex question. Unfortunately, the results of the referendum will not be so simple to sort out, and for Russia, too.

Elena Ananieva. Working Paper №3, 2016 (№17). What Brexit means for Russia. ENG

Russia would be an unlikely beneficiary of Brexit, should one ultimately occur – and here’s why.

Alexey Gromyko, Vladislav Belov. Working Paper №2, 2016 (№16). Normandy Format and Munich Security Conference: controversial results. ENG

Cautious hopes for the progress at the “Normandy Four” talks during Munich Security Conference did not materialize. Apparently, no concrete agreement was reached. The main result was the confirmation of the parties’ readiness to meet again in March.

Alexey Gromyko. Working paper №1, 2016 (№15). Following Litvinenko, UK-Russia relations are now at their lowest point since the 1980s. ENG

On 21 January, an inquiry into the death of Alexander Litvinenko in London published conclusions implicating the Russian government in his murder. Alexey Gromyko writes that it will be impossible to know the full details of the case until classified information is released, which could take decades. He argues that the case is nevertheless of secondary importance to the wider issue of UK-Russian relations, with events in Syria, Ukraine and the outcome of the US presidential election likely to be the key factors moving forward.

Alexey Gromyko. Working paper №14, 2015 (№14). Russia, the US, and Smaller Europe (the EU): Competition for Leadership in a Polycentric World. ENG

The author analyzes relations within the triangle – Russia, the EU, and the US and provides an overview of basic research on the contemporary world order and the positions of Europe and Russia. The author elaborates on five types of relationships, which are possible within this triangle.

Alexey Gromyko. Working paper №13, 2015 (№13). On trust and on true causes of the EU-Russia relations break-up. ENG


Elena Ananieva. Working paper №12, 2015 (№12). To Win Battle without Losing War. ENG

Elena Ananieva. Working paper №11, 2015 (№11). Britain’s Labour Party: Principles or Power? ENG


Alexey Gromyko. Working paper №10, 2015 (№10). Russia’s Conundrum in the post-Soviet Space. ENG

Olga Butorina. Working paper №9, 2015 (№9). Specific features of the Eurasian economic integration model. ENG

The objective of regional integration is to create the most efficient global stratum enabling its participants to enhance the positive effects of globalization and mitigate negative ones. Initial preconditions always dispose the model and mechanisms of regional integration. The author identifies four distinguishing features of Eurasian economic integration and refers to the experience of other regional groupings that may be useful to it.

Vladimir Schveytzer. Working paper №8, 2015 (№8). The European Union: From Elections to Elections. ENG

The author analyzes the electoral process in European politics over the year that has passed since the elections to the European Parliament. The year was full of important events both at country-  and continent-wide levels, with the situation changing in the global space beyond the clearly delineated boundaries of the European Union.

Alexey Gromyko. Working paper №7, 2015 (№7). Reminiscenses about Nikolai Shmelyov. A Farewell to Yevgeny Primakov. ENG