THE INSTITUTE OF EUROPE OF THE RUSSIAN ACADEMY OF SCIENCES
institute of europe
the institute of europe of the russian academy of sciences

Analytical paper No 18, 2024 «Requiem or Ode to Joy: on the economic future of the EU in 2024-2029»

  • 21 August 2024
IE RAS presents Analytical papers of IE RAS No 18, 2024 «Requiem or Ode to Joy: on the economic future of the EU in 2024-2029» (in Russian) by Kotov A., Candidate of Science (Economics), Senior Research Fellow, German Studies Centre, Head of the Germany`s Economy Sector, Institute of Europe of the Russian Academy of Sciences, and Vasilchenko A., Junior researcher, Department of Economic Studies, Institute of Europe, Russian Academy of Sciences. 
The next institutional cycle of the EU begins in a period of unprecedented uncertainty in global economy with a number of large-scale and intertwined problems of the European economic space. The authors consider possible economic and political directions in the activities of the new composition of the European Commission and prospects of adapting the EU standard to the rapidly changing geoeconomic environment. The article analyzes position of European countries in KOF globalization index. The authors assess key positive and negative factors of investment attractiveness of the Union. Main future measures in economic policy will be associated with activation of investment policy, introduction of special instruments to support companies in their upgrading of the green course policy, and reduction of internal barriers in the Single market. Significant risks along this path are associated with the political sphere whose actors may not cope with coordination of various bureaucratic interests.

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